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Showing posts from July, 2020

On your bike... to where?

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The great bike rush of 2020 is in full swing! COVID-19 restrictions means bike shops are sold out and there's a huge increase in cycling everywhere... or so media (social and otherwise) would have you believe, but I haven't seen any details on what is actually happening. So as a cyclist and data scientist I thought I would try and find out. I wrote a deconstruction of the reported 700% increase in cycling in Cycling, the new COVID-19 side effect? where found some serious sampling bias issues and proposed a more realistic results of 10-150% increase on weekends and a reduction on weekday at most location. While far more robust (in my option anyway) it still did not provide extensive coverage and did not look at changes in where people were riding. So here we are for round 2 so lets try and make it slightly scientific. My hypothesis (theory of what's happening) is that over the lockdown period: weekday cycle counts will be lower and weekend counts remain unchanged or higher,